The economic problems in Spain seem so far away, so why should we be concerned? The world has discovered Spain and has found a major economic basket case. What if Spain is but a preview of what could happen here on the US, and more specifically here in Nevada?
This article describes Spain’s dire situation and says the party is about to end.
In Spain, huge projects are completely empty and bad debts mounts as the Spanish banks play extend-and-pretend with developers. That game is about to end.
Developer loans are coming due. Yet, there is no way for developers to make interest payments let alone pay any principal. When developers collapse in 2011, banks will be stuck with a vast amount of undeveloped land at overvalued prices as well as ghost towns so far outside of major towns that no one will live in them.
A flood of inventory awaits a dearth of buyers. Moreover, a huge amount of shadow-inventory is waiting on deck, hoping for better prices so the owners can bail. Unfortunately there is no one to bail to. Spain’s official unemployment rate is 20%, and it’s quite likely the real unemployment rate is higher.
Can you see any parallels with Reno, our unemployment rate, perhaps? I recognize that it is not quite 20%, officially, that is. Can you see any signs that things are about to change? The local media have stories that we are about to turn the corner. Who would you want to trust?
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